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Prediction Details

Liverpool vs Aston Villa

English Premier League on Sun 05 Jul 2020 @17:30

Opening Betting Odds:
Home 1.25 Tie 5.75 Away 11.00

Algorithm| Home Away fav| Balanced| Bookmaker fav|

*Home Away Fav: Most complete, the many parameters considered leads to an overestimation of 1 and 2 winning bets.


league performance

Liverpool is favourite. At the time being, they have won more often and better than Aston Villa.

Liverpool

88%

Aston Villa

22%

home bonus

Because they are playing home, Liverpool is favourite. On average, a better performance by Home teams compared to Away is fact-proven.

Liverpool

81%

Aston Villa

Time and climate change, travelling, lack of fans support, mixed psychological effects can have an heavy impact even on the best football players.


direct matches

Not any recent match between Liverpool and Aston Villa has been found. There is no data to evaluate the direct matches performance of the two teams.


league standing

Liverpool is ranking much better than Aston Villa. Motivation can be easily lost in this condition, the opponent will receive a small bonus.

Liverpool 1

79%

18 Aston Villa


bet365 odds

Aston Villa is quoted way too much. The chance of winning the match are very high for Liverpool according to bet365 information. The bookmaker point of view has been taken into account.

Liverpool 1.25

94%

11.00 Aston Villa


points, short run

Liverpool has collected much more points over the last 3 matches than Aston Villa.

Liverpool 4

95%

1 Aston Villa


points, medium run

Liverpool has collected much more points over the last 5 matches than Aston Villa.

Liverpool 10

96%

2 Aston Villa


points, long run

Liverpool has collected much more points over the last 10 matches than Aston Villa.

Liverpool 16

96%

5 Aston Villa


goals, short run

Liverpool and Aston Villa have scored almost the same goals on average over the last 3 matches. Nothing can be said about team aggressiveness in the short term.


goals, medium run

Liverpool has scored on average a bit more goals than Aston Villa during the last 5 matches.

Liverpool 1.40

97%

0.40 Aston Villa


goals, long run

Liverpool has scored on average a bit more goals than Aston Villa during the last 10 matches.

Liverpool 1.10

97%

0.80 Aston Villa


corners, short run

Liverpool and Aston Villa have been awarded almost the same corners on average over the last 3 matches. No data is available to evaluate teams offensiveness in the short term.


corners, medium run

Liverpool has been awarded on average a bit more corner kicks than Aston Villa during the last 5 matches.

Liverpool 7.40

97%

5.00 Aston Villa


corners, long run

Liverpool has been awarded on average a bit more corner kicks than Aston Villa during the last 10 matches.

Liverpool 8.20

97%

5.70 Aston Villa


shot on target, short run

Aston Villa has kicked more shots on target on average than Liverpool during the last 3 competitions, proving to be dangerous in the short term and ready to go for point at the first opportunity.

Liverpool 7.30

96%

12.30 Aston Villa


shot on target, long run

Aston Villa has kicked more shots on target on average than Liverpool during the last 10 competitions, proving to be dangerous in the short term and ready to go for point at the first opportunity.

Liverpool 8.30

95%

17.10 Aston Villa


ball possession, short run

Liverpool average ball possession on 3 matches is much better than Aston Villa, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.

Liverpool 72%

97%

40% Aston Villa


ball possession, long run

Liverpool average ball possession on 10 matches is much better than Aston Villa, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.

Liverpool 68%

98%

45% Aston Villa


yellow card, short run

Liverpool and Aston Villa have received almost the same number of yellow cards over the last 3 competitions. Information are insufficient to estimate teams violence in the short term.


yellow card, long run

Aston Villa has received much more yellow cards in average than Liverpool on the last 10 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match. In the long term, violent reputation is widely recognized and victory made even easier than for short term violence.

Liverpool 1.40

97%

2.20 Aston Villa


fouls, short run

Liverpool and Aston Villa have committed almost the same number of fouls over the last 3 competitions. Not enough data is available to evaluate teams strategy in the short term.


fouls, long run

Aston Villa has committed a bit more fouls in average than Liverpool on the last 10 contests. The teams are applying a strategy, one putting more efforts than the other, an advantage can be awarded in the lomg term.

Liverpool 9.60

97%

12.30 Aston Villa



73
D.A.I.
?
Data Availability Index. The higher the better. It means the calculation is made considering a bigger amount of information.
92
S.I.
?
Safety Index. The higher the better. It means the prediction clearly points out a favourite result among the 3 (Home Win, Tie, Away Win).

Match Predicted Result

Home Liverpool favourite.

Data not available for analysis:

  1. Today line-up
  2. Direct Matches
football betting tips about Home: Liverpool, Away: Aston Villa

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Liverpool - Aston Villa on Sun 05 Jul 2020

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