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Prediction and results Archive

Lugano vs Basel

Swiss Super League on Wed 01 Jul 2020

Opening Betting Odds:
Home 4.00 Tie 3.60 Away 1.85
Full Time Score 2-1 (extra time and penalty shootout, if any, excluded)

Algorithm| Home Away fav| Balanced| Bookmaker fav|

*Home Away Fav: Most complete, the many parameters considered leads to an overestimation of 1 and 2 winning bets.


league performance

Basel is favourite. At the time being, they have won more often and better than Lugano.

Lugano

27%

Basel

54%

home bonus

Because they are playing home, Lugano is favourite. On average, a better performance by Home teams compared to Away is fact-proven.

Lugano

34%

Basel

Time and climate change, travelling, lack of fans support, mixed psychological effects can have an heavy impact even on the best football players.


direct matches

DateLeagueHomeAwayScoreHome WinTieAway Win
2018-09-30Swiss Super LeagueLuganoBasel2-21.803.604.33
2018-11-04Swiss Super LeagueBaselLugano3-25.753.801.60
2019-03-10Swiss Super LeagueLuganoBasel1-11.853.604.00
2019-04-07Swiss Super LeagueBaselLugano1-17.004.001.50
2019-09-01Swiss Super LeagueBaselLugano2-16.504.501.44
2019-11-10Swiss Super LeagueLuganoBasel0-31.803.754.20

Tie is quite probable in the direct matches between Lugano and Basel. In the recent past they have tied 3 times. The win chance of the teams will not be affected, but the tie odd and the prediction outcome yes.

Lugano 0

34%

3 Basel


league standing

Basel is ranking better than Lugano, not enough to receive additional bonuses.

Lugano 7

34%

3 Basel


bet365 odds

Lugano is quoted much more. The chance of winning the match are higher for Basel according to bet365 information. The bookmaker point of view has been taken into account.

Lugano 4.00

26%

1.85 Basel


points, short run

Basel has collected a bit more points over the last 3 matches than Lugano.

Lugano 4

24%

6 Basel


points, medium run

Lugano and Basel have collected almost the same points over the last 5 matches. Nothing can be said about the differece of perfomance in the medium term.


points, long run

Lugano and Basel have collected almost the same points over the last 10 matches. Nothing can be said about the differece of perfomance in the long term.


goals, short run

Lugano and Basel have scored almost the same goals on average over the last 3 matches. Nothing can be said about team aggressiveness in the short term.


goals, medium run

Basel has scored on average a bit more goals than Lugano during the last 5 matches.

Lugano 1.60

22%

2.00 Basel


goals, long run

Basel has scored on average a bit more goals than Lugano during the last 10 matches.

Lugano 1.40

20%

2.00 Basel


corners, short run

Lugano and Basel have been awarded almost the same corners on average over the last 3 matches. No data is available to evaluate teams offensiveness in the short term.


corners, medium run

Lugano and Basel have been awarded almost the same corners on average during the last 5 matches. No information are at hand to account teams offensiveness in the medium term.


shot on target, short run

Lugano has kicked more shots on target on average than Basel during the last 3 competitions, proving to be dangerous in the short term and ready to go for point at the first opportunity.

Lugano 14.00

26%

7.70 Basel


shot on target, long run

Lugano has kicked some more shots on target on average than Basel during the last 10 competitions, however, not much can be deducted by the small difference on this performance.

Lugano 12.90

28%

10.90 Basel


ball possession, short run

Basel average ball possession on 3 matches is much better than Lugano, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.

Lugano 39%

21%

64% Basel


ball possession, long run

Basel average ball possession on 10 matches is much better than Lugano, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.

Lugano 46%

17%

55% Basel


yellow card, short run

Lugano has received much more yellow cards in average than Basel on the last 3 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match in the short term, unless major players are expelled due to the number of yellow card received.

Lugano 2.00

23%

0.70 Basel


yellow card, long run

Lugano has received much more yellow cards in average than Basel on the last 10 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match. In the long term, violent reputation is widely recognized and victory made even easier than for short term violence.

Lugano 2.40

28%

1.60 Basel


fouls, short run

Lugano and Basel have committed almost the same number of fouls over the last 3 competitions. Not enough data is available to evaluate teams strategy in the short term.


fouls, long run

Lugano has committed a bit more fouls in average than Basel on the last 10 contests. The teams are applying a strategy, one putting more efforts than the other, an advantage can be awarded in the lomg term.

Lugano 12.00

29%

10.90 Basel



70
D.A.I.
?
Data Availability Index. The higher the better. It means the calculation is made considering a bigger amount of information.
31
S.I.
?
Safety Index. The higher the better. It means the prediction clearly points out a favourite result among the 3 (Home Win, Tie, Away Win).

Match Predicted Result

Away Basel favourite.

Real Result 2-1 kick-off Wed 01 Jul 2020 @ 18:15

Bet Result LOSE

Data not available for analysis:

  1. Today line-up
  2. 10 match corners
football betting tips about Home: Lugano, Away: Basel

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Predictions detail and match result Archive

The current page is a report of the last analysis and prediction over the match Lugano - Basel, that has been already played on Wed 01 Jul 2020, with final result 2-1. It is still possible to compare the prediction with the real match result: the full time result and the bet outcome are shown.

Lugano - Basel score 2-1 on Wed 01 Jul 2020, stats and result

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Page topic: Lugano - Basel score 2-1 on Wed 01 Jul 2020, stats and result

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