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Prediction and results Archive

Winterthur vs Aarau

Swiss Challenge League on Tue 30 Jun 2020

Opening Betting Odds:
Home 3.00 Tie 3.40 Away 2.30
Full Time Score 5-2 (extra time and penalty shootout, if any, excluded)

Algorithm| Home Away fav| Balanced| Bookmaker fav|

*Home Away Fav: Most complete, the many parameters considered leads to an overestimation of 1 and 2 winning bets.


league performance

The power level of Winterthur and Aarau in 2020 Swiss Challenge League Championship is perfectly the same. This match can be a great one.

Winterthur

31%

Aarau

31%

home bonus

Because they are playing home, Winterthur is favourite. On average, a better performance by Home teams compared to Away is fact-proven.

Winterthur

51%

Aarau

Time and climate change, travelling, lack of fans support, mixed psychological effects can have an heavy impact even on the best football players.


direct matches

DateLeagueHomeAwayScoreHome WinTieAway Win
2018-07-27Swiss Challenge LeagueWinterthurAarau3-12.253.502.80
2018-10-07Swiss Challenge LeagueAarauWinterthur2-33.403.502.05
2019-03-17Swiss Challenge LeagueWinterthurAarau0-12.604.002.20
2019-04-12Swiss Challenge LeagueAarauWinterthur2-23.903.751.85
2019-07-20Swiss Challenge LeagueWinterthurAarau1-12.503.602.37
2019-11-29Swiss Challenge LeagueAarauWinterthur2-22.703.802.30

Tie is quite probable in the direct matches between Winterthur and Aarau. In the recent past they have tied 3 times. The win chance of the teams will not be affected, but the tie odd and the prediction outcome yes.

Winterthur 2

51%

1 Aarau


league standing

Aarau is ranking better than Winterthur, not enough to receive additional bonuses.

Winterthur 8

51%

7 Aarau


bet365 odds

Winterthur is quoted quite more. The chance of winning the match are slightly higher for Aarau according to bet365 information. The bookmaker point of view has been taken into account.

Winterthur 3.00

46%

2.30 Aarau


points, short run

Aarau has collected much more points over the last 3 matches than Winterthur

Winterthur 1

41%

6 Aarau


points, medium run

Winterthur and Aarau have collected almost the same points over the last 5 matches. Nothing can be said about the differece of perfomance in the medium term.


points, long run

Winterthur and Aarau have collected almost the same points over the last 10 matches. Nothing can be said about the differece of perfomance in the long term.


goals, short run

Aarau has scored on average more goals than Winterthur during the last 3 matches.

Winterthur 1.00

37%

2.33 Aarau


goals, medium run

Aarau has scored on average a bit more goals than Winterthur during the last 5 matches.

Winterthur 1.20

34%

1.80 Aarau


goals, long run

Aarau has scored on average a bit more goals than Winterthur during the last 10 matches.

Winterthur 1.00

32%

1.90 Aarau


corners, short run

Winterthur and Aarau have been awarded almost the same corners on average over the last 3 matches. No data is available to evaluate teams offensiveness in the short term.


corners, medium run

Winterthur and Aarau have been awarded almost the same corners on average during the last 5 matches. No information are at hand to account teams offensiveness in the medium term.


shot on target, short run

Winterthur has kicked more shots on target on average than Aarau during the last 3 competitions, proving to be dangerous in the short term and ready to go for point at the first opportunity.

Winterthur 14.00

39%

9.30 Aarau


shot on target, long run

Winterthur has kicked some more shots on target on average than Aarau during the last 10 competitions, however, not much can be deducted by the small difference on this performance.

Winterthur 12.00

42%

10.00 Aarau


ball possession, short run

Aarau average ball possession on 3 matches is slightly better than Winterthur.

Winterthur 45%

36%

48% Aarau


ball possession, long run

Winterthur and Aarau average ball possession is almost the same over the last 10 competitions. No information are at hand to account teams ability to make the play in the long term.


yellow card, short run

Winterthur has received much more yellow cards in average than Aarau on the last 3 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match in the short term, unless major players are expelled due to the number of yellow card received.

Winterthur 1.70

46%

0.70 Aarau


yellow card, long run

Winterthur and Aarau have received almost the same number of yellow cards over the last 10 competitions. Not enough information are at hand to account teams violence in the long term.


fouls, short run

Aarau has committed much more fouls in average than Winterthur on the last 3 contests. Big amounts of small fouls point out the team is applying a strategy, thus generally having an advantage on the opponents in the short term.

Winterthur 10.70

42%

18.30 Aarau


fouls, long run

Aarau has committed much more fouls in average than Winterthur on the last 10 contests. Big amounts of small fouls point out the team is applying a strategy, thus generally having an advantage on the opponents in the long term.

Winterthur 10.10

39%

15.20 Aarau



69
D.A.I.
?
Data Availability Index. The higher the better. It means the calculation is made considering a bigger amount of information.
13
S.I.
?
Safety Index. The higher the better. It means the prediction clearly points out a favourite result among the 3 (Home Win, Tie, Away Win).

Match Predicted Result

Winterthur - Aarau Tie favourite, even if one team seems advantaged.

Real Result 5-2 kick-off Tue 30 Jun 2020 @ 18:15

Bet Result LOSE

Data not available for analysis:

  1. Today line-up
  2. 10 match corners
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Predictions detail and match result Archive

The current page is a report of the last analysis and prediction over the match Winterthur - Aarau, that has been already played on Tue 30 Jun 2020, with final result 5-2. It is still possible to compare the prediction with the real match result: the full time result and the bet outcome are shown.

Winterthur - Aarau score 5-2 on Tue 30 Jun 2020, stats and result

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