*Home Away Fav: Most complete, the many parameters considered leads to an overestimation of Home and Away win chance.
The historic performances of the teams for this type of competition are not available, the opponents will be supposed to start by the same power level.
Because they are playing home, Ceara is favourite. On average, a better performance by Home teams compared to Away is fact-proven.
Time and climate change, travelling, lack of fans support, mixed psychological effects can have an heavy impact even on the best football players.
|Date||League||Home||Away||Score||Home Win||Tie||Away Win|
|2019-08-04||Brazil Serie A||Ceara||Fortaleza||2-1||2.20||3.10||3.50|
|2019-09-16||International Club Friendly||Fortaleza||Ceara||1-1|
|2019-11-11||Brazil Serie A||Fortaleza||Ceara||1-0||2.30||3.20||3.10|
|2020-02-01||Brasil Campeonato do Nordeste Primeira||Fortaleza||Ceara||1-1||1.90||3.30||3.75|
|2020-07-16||Brazil Campeonato Cearense Division 1||Ceara||Fortaleza||1-2||2.90||3.10||2.25|
|2020-07-29||Brasil Campeonato do Nordeste Primeira||Fortaleza||Ceara||0-1||2.05||3.30||3.25|
|2020-09-03||Brazil Serie A||Ceara||Fortaleza||1-0||2.55||3.10||2.90|
|2020-10-01||Brazil Campeonato Cearense Division 1||Ceara||Fortaleza||1-2||2.60||2.90||2.70|
|2020-10-22||Brazil Campeonato Cearense Division 1||Fortaleza||Ceara||1-0||2.25||3.20||2.80|
|2020-12-21||Brazil Serie A||Fortaleza||Ceara||0-2||2.50||3.20||2.62|
|2021-03-20||Brasil Campeonato do Nordeste Primeira||Ceara||Fortaleza||0-0||2.50||3.00||2.75|
|2021-05-15||Brazil Campeonato Cearense Division 1||Ceara||Fortaleza||0-2||2.25||3.10||2.88|
|2021-05-23||Brazil Campeonato Cearense Division 1||Fortaleza||Ceara||0-0||2.63||3.00||2.50|
Tie is quite probable in the direct matches between Ceara and Fortaleza. In the recent past they have tied 5 times. The win chance of the teams will not be affected, but the tie odd and the prediction outcome yes.
Fortaleza is ranking much better than Ceara. Motivation can be easily lost in this condition, the opponent will receive a small bonus.
The bookmaker prices are not helping for this match result prediction. Ceara and Fortaleza have similar odds, the prediction will be probably affected by a bigger uncertainty.
Fortaleza has collected much more points over the last 3 matches than Ceara
Fortaleza has collected much more points over the last 5 matches than Ceara.
Fortaleza has collected a bit more points over the last 10 matches than Ceara.
Fortaleza has scored on average more goals than Ceara during the last 3 matches.
Fortaleza has scored on average much more goals than Ceara during the last 5 matches, showing a more aggressive behaviour and propensity for win in the medium term.
Fortaleza has scored on average much more goals than Ceara during the last 10 matches, showing a more aggressive behaviour and propensity for win in the long term.
Ceara has been awarded on average a bit more corner kicks than Fortaleza during the last 3 matches.
Ceara and Fortaleza have been awarded almost the same corners on average during the last 5 matches. No information are at hand to account teams offensiveness in the medium term.
Ceara has kicked more shots on target on average than Fortaleza during the last 3 competitions, proving to be dangerous in the short term and ready to go for point at the first opportunity.
Ceara and Fortaleza have kicked almost the same shots on target on average over the last 10 competitions. No information are at hand to account teams attitude to win in the long term.
Fortaleza average ball possession on 3 matches is much better than Ceara, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.
Fortaleza average ball possession on 10 matches is much better than Ceara, giving the impression they can make the play and be favourite.
Fortaleza has received much more yellow cards in average than Ceara on the last 3 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match in the short term, unless major players are expelled due to the number of yellow card received.
Fortaleza has received much more yellow cards in average than Ceara on the last 10 contests. Statistically, a violent club is better performing compared to a fair playing one in a football match. In the long term, violent reputation is widely recognized and victory made even easier than for short term violence.
Ceara and Fortaleza have committed almost the same number of fouls over the last 3 competitions. Not enough data is available to evaluate teams strategy in the short term.
Fortaleza has committed much more fouls in average than Ceara on the last 10 contests. Big amounts of small fouls point out the team is applying a strategy, thus generally having an advantage on the opponents in the long term.
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The current page is a report of the last analysis and prediction over the match Ceara - Fortaleza, that has been already played on Fri 11 Jun 2021, with final result 0-3. It is still possible to compare the prediction with the real match result: the full time result and the bet outcome are shown.
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